Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.098507 0.113773 0.130619 0.150591 0.173626 0.199368 0.230328
2026-01-18 0.074138 0.094564 0.119412 0.151871 0.193183 0.244054 0.311543
2026-01-25 0.059647 0.081558 0.110093 0.149992 0.204404 0.276126 0.378058
2026-02-01 0.048852 0.070687 0.100742 0.145163 0.209247 0.298532 0.432751
2026-02-08 0.042964 0.065287 0.097528 0.147522 0.223247 0.333944 0.508655
2026-02-15 0.037915 0.060194 0.093780 0.148145 0.234159 0.365415 0.581800
2026-02-22 0.034141 0.056410 0.091321 0.150088 0.246841 0.400386 0.663794
2026-03-01 0.029998 0.051428 0.086261 0.147061 0.250910 0.421802 0.725968
2026-03-08 0.026660 0.047310 0.082029 0.144721 0.255551 0.444223 0.791817
2026-03-15 0.024456 0.044836 0.080212 0.146166 0.266613 0.478331 0.881297
2026-03-22 0.023357 0.044168 0.081403 0.152967 0.287761 0.532022 1.011558
2026-03-29 0.022023 0.042890 0.081321 0.157357 0.304850 0.579994 1.136356
2026-04-05 0.020642 0.041399 0.080741 0.160863 0.320910 0.628233 1.268242
2026-04-12 0.019126 0.039470 0.079123 0.162177 0.332884 0.670025 1.392550
2026-04-19 0.017419 0.036946 0.076041 0.160170 0.337889 0.698493 1.492889
2026-04-26 0.015592 0.033956 0.071685 0.155012 0.335745 0.712134 1.563604
2026-05-03 0.014690 0.032821 0.071017 0.157532 0.350048 0.761234 1.715714
2026-05-10 0.013710 0.031399 0.069580 0.158198 0.360344 0.802781 1.855759
2026-05-17 0.012937 0.030350 0.068827 0.160273 0.373951 0.852851 2.020548
2026-05-24 0.011832 0.028412 0.065893 0.157040 0.375041 0.874991 2.122986
2026-05-31 0.010889 0.026745 0.063396 0.154541 0.377544 0.900549 2.236321
2026-06-07 0.010299 0.025865 0.062631 0.156084 0.389871 0.950308 2.414101
2026-06-14 0.010107 0.025940 0.064141 0.163348 0.416993 1.038234 2.696878